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 22
Consumer spending indicators 
 
Employment Cost Index  (ECI) measures  wages and  inflation  and provides a comprehensive
analysis of worker compensation, including wages, salaries  and fringe benefits. Consumer
Spending Indicators grounded on data  due to the  retail sale volume is important for the Forex
because it shows the level of consumers demand and their sentiments, which is initial data for the
calculation of other indicators such as Gross National and Gross Domestic Products.

 
Generally,  the most commonly used employment figure  is not the monthly unemployment rate,
which is released as a percentage, but the non-farm payroll rate. The rate figure is calculated as
the ratio of the difference between the total labor force and the employed labor force, divided by
the total labor force. The data is more complex, though, and it generates more information. In
Forex, the standard indicators monitored by  traders  are the unemployment rate, manufacturing
payrolls, non-farm payrolls, average earnings, and average workweek. Generally, the most
significant employment  data are  manufacturing  and non-farm payrolls, followed by the
unemployment rate.

 Retail Sales  are  a significant consumer-spending indicator for foreign exchange traders,  as it
shows the strength of consumer demand as well  as consumer confidence. As an economic
indicator, retail sales are particularly important in the United States. Unlike other countries such
as Japan, the focus in the U.S. economy is  the consumer.  If the consumer has  enough
discretionary  income, or enough credit  for that matter,  then more merchandise will be produced
or imported. Retail sales figures create an  economic process of "trickling up" to the
manufacturing sector.

 The seasonal aspect is
important for this economic indicator. The retail
sales months that are most watched by foreign  exchange traders  are December, because of the
holiday season, and September, the back-to-school month. Increasingly, November is becoming
an important month, as a result of the shift in the former after-Christmas sales to pre-December
sales days. Another interesting phenomenon occurred in the United States despite the economic
recession in the early 1990s. The volume of retail sales was unusually high while the profit
margin was much thinner. The reason was the consumer's shift toward discount  stores. Traders
watch retail  sales  closely to gauge the overall strength of the economy and,  consequently, the
strength of the currency. This indicator is released on a monthly basis.

 Consumer sentiment  is a survey of households that is designed to directly gauge the individual
propensity for spending money to increase or to maintain on the same level their expenditures
connected with the satisfaction of the household current needs and, by implication, - the situation
on the labor market.

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